Market Commentary | January 20th, 2026
Markets spent the week sifting through economic data still distorted by the lingering effects of last year’s federal shutdown.
Markets spent the week sifting through economic data still distorted by the lingering effects of last year’s federal shutdown.
Economic indicators over the recent period delivered a mixed but informative set of signals. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in slightly worse than expected at 47.9% versus 48.3% expected, marking the tenth straight month of contraction and the lowest reading of 2025.
Economic indicators over the recent period provide a nuanced view of U.S. conditions as the year closed. Crude oil inventories showed mixed results at the end of the year, with a small increase followed by a decline. However, product stockpiles — like gasoline and distillates — rose sharply, reinforcing the view that supply remains ample.